Can somebody please explain how the US dollar is any more attractive today than it was 1 year ago? Nobody in their right mind believes the banking crisis has bottomed, we haven’t even seen the Option ARM resets, the right-downs on student loans and auto loans and credit cards, the mass wave of baby-boomers set to retire, peak oil, the result of soaring inflation and a Federal debt with an average maturity of less than 3 years. We haven’t seen the bulk of our more serious problems – and critically, most of these problems originate in the US – so how could the currency of a bankrupt nation be seen as a safe haven? It’s preposterous. The last few months can’t possibly be anything more than a dead cat bounce, it’s a sucker rally.
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